Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.253848 0.294110 0.340160 0.397046 0.465864 0.546978 0.650635
2025-08-31 0.187430 0.237170 0.300599 0.388745 0.510200 0.674894 0.920837
2025-09-07 0.155665 0.209895 0.284801 0.398649 0.572508 0.837138 1.289436
2025-09-14 0.130144 0.183876 0.262643 0.390864 0.603224 0.958438 1.639580
2025-09-21 0.114368 0.168110 0.251013 0.394325 0.649619 1.115577 2.113457
2025-09-28 0.101441 0.154117 0.238944 0.393349 0.686573 1.265569 2.640423
2025-10-05 0.093372 0.146352 0.235232 0.405309 0.749390 1.485246 3.432828
2025-10-12 0.086177 0.138842 0.230469 0.413912 0.807314 1.714534 4.384790
2025-10-19 0.079905 0.131969 0.225595 0.421012 0.863655 1.961104 5.551314
2025-10-26 0.075222 0.127238 0.223827 0.433857 0.936376 2.278246 7.189447
2025-11-02 0.070141 0.121106 0.218411 0.437740 0.988775 2.563263 8.971036
2025-11-09 0.065332 0.114902 0.211944 0.437975 1.032127 2.842085 11.014603
2025-11-16 0.060618 0.108462 0.204355 0.434774 1.067418 3.119744 13.418582
2025-11-23 0.056060 0.101865 0.195636 0.427421 1.089861 3.369597 16.045187
2025-11-30 0.053517 0.099032 0.194585 0.438937 1.172254 3.888268 21.129101
2025-12-07 0.049733 0.093252 0.186303 0.430272 1.189567 4.163302 25.122653
2025-12-14 0.047208 0.089853 0.182957 0.434177 1.249880 4.663532 32.036455
2025-12-21 0.044595 0.086008 0.178110 0.433083 1.293339 5.120783 39.865554
2025-12-28 0.043087 0.084408 0.178344 0.446527 1.394537 5.945858 54.492682
2026-01-04 0.041468 0.082399 0.177338 0.456203 1.486010 6.804512 73.569965
2026-01-11 0.039876 0.080298 0.175848 0.464192 1.574778 7.738277 99.360220
2026-01-18 0.038706 0.079050 0.176356 0.478654 1.697639 9.028445 142.101361
2026-01-25 0.037146 0.076750 0.173880 0.483028 1.778944 10.133572 192.325506